Publications

Complete lists of all publications since 2009:

 

Selected papers are available for download in PDF below:

Papers in print and working papers

Alvarez, D.A, Uribe, F., Hurtado, J.E. (2018). Estimation of the lower and upper bounds on the probability of failure using subset simulation and random set theory. Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing. 100, 782-801.

Geyer, S., Papaioannou I., Straub, D. Cross entropy-based importance sampling using Gaussian densities revisited. Structural Safety (submitted).

Papakosta P., Straub D. (in print): Probabilistic prediction of daily fire occurrence in the Mediterranean based on weather and anthropogenic factors. iForest.

Yuan J., Papaioannou I., Mok C.M. and Straub D. Reliability Analysis of Infinite Slope under Intense Rainfall Considering Soil Variability. Submitted to Georisk. 

2017

Depina I., Papaioannou I., Straub D., Eiksund G. (2017). Coupling the cross-entropy with line sampling method for risk-based design optimization. Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization, 55(5): 1589-1612.

Giovanis D.G., Papaioannou I., Straub D., Papadopoulos V. (2017). Bayesian updating with subset simulation using artificial neural networks. Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering, 319: 124-145.

Luque J., Hamann R., Straub D. (2017). Spatial modeling of corrosion in ship structures. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty Analysis, Part B, 3(3): 031001.

Müller M., Drees L., Schmidt-Moll C., Gontar P., Zwirglmaier K., Wang C., Bengler K., Holzapfel F., Straub D. (2017). Risk Analysis of the EASA Minimum Fuel Requirements Considering the ACARE-defined Safety Target. Journal of Air Transport Management, 65:1-10.

Papaioannou I., Straub D. (2017). Learning soil parameters and updating geotechnical reliability estimates under spatial variability - theory and application to shallow foundations. Georisk, 11(1): 116-128.

Papakosta P., Xanthopoulos G., Straub D. (2017). Probabilistic prediction of wildfire economic losses to housing in Cyprus using Bayesian network analysis. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 26: 10-23.

Scherb A., Garrè L., Straub D. (2017). Reliability and component importance in networks subject to spatially distributed hazards followed by cascading failures. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty Analysis, Part B, 3(2), 021007.

Schneider R., Thöns S., Straub D. (2017). Reliability analysis and updating of deteriorating systems with subset simulation. Structural Safety, 64: 20-36.

Špačková O., Straub D. (2017). Long-term adaptation decisions via fully and partially observable Markov decision processes. Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure, 2(1): 37-58.

Zwirglmaier K., Straub D., Groth K. (2017). Capturing cognitive causal paths in human reliability analysis with Bayesian network models. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 158: 117-129. 

2016

Sättele M., Krautblatter M., Bründl M., Straub D. (2016). Forecasting rock slope failures: How reliable and effective are warning systems? Landslides, 13(4): 737–750.

Luque J, Straub D. (2016): Reliability Analysis and Updating of Deteriorating Structural Systems with Dynamic Bayesian Networks. Structural Safety, 62: 34–46.

Zwirglmaier K., Straub D. (2016): A discretization procedure for rare events in Bayesian networks. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 153:96–109

Papaioannou I., Papadimitriou C., Straub D. (2016): Sequential importance sampling for structural reliability analysis. Structural Safety, 62:66–75.

Straub, D., Papaioannou I., Betz W. (2016): Bayesian analysis of rare events. Journal of Computational Physics, 314:538–556.

Betz W., Papaioannou I., Straub D. (2016): Transitional Markov Chain Monte Carlo: Observations and Improvements. Journal of Engineering Mechanics, 142(5).

Camós, C., Špačková, O., Straub, D., Molins, C. (2016): Probabilistic approach to assessing and monitoring settlements caused by tunneling. J. of Tunnelling and Underground Space Technology, 51: 313–325.

Sättele M., Bründl M., Straub D. (2016): Quantifying the effectiveness of early warning systems for natural hazards. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 16: 149–166.

Jiang S.H., Huang J.S. (2016): Efficient slope reliability analysis at low-probability levels in spatially variable soils. Computers and Geotechnics, 75: 18-27.

Špačková, O., Dittes, B., Straub, D. (2016): Critical infrastructure and disaster risk reduction planning under socioeconomic and climate change uncertainty. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC Davos

2015

Breitung K. (2015): 40 years FORM: Some new aspects?. Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics, 42:71–77.

Ullmann E., Papaioannou I. (2015): Multilevel estimation of rare events. SIAM/ASA Journal of Uncertainty Quantification, 3(1): 922-953. 

Schneider R., Fischer J., Bügler M., Nowak M., Thöns S., Borrmann A., Straub D. (2015): Assessing and updating the reliability of concrete bridges subjected to spatial deterioration – principles and software implementation. Structural Concrete, 16(3): 356–365.

Shi Z.M., Wang Y.Q., Peng M., Chen J.F., Yuan J. (2015): Characteristics of the landslide dams induced by the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake and dynamic behavior analysis using large-scale shaking table tests. Engineering Geology 194: 25-37.

Papaioannou I., Betz W., Zwirglmaier K., Straub D. (2015): MCMC Algorithms for Subset Simulation. Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics, 41, 89-103.

Špačková O., Straub D. (2015): Cost-benefit analysis for optimization of risk protection under budget constraints. Risk Analysis, 35(5):941–959.

Bensi M.T., Der Kiureghian A., Straub D. (2015): Framework for Post-Earthquake Risk Assessment and Decision Making for Infrastructure Systems. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty Analysis. Part A: Civ. Eng., 1(1), 04014003.

Sättele M., Bründl M., Straub D. (2015): Reliability and Effectiveness of Warning Systems for Natural Hazards: Concepts and Application to Debris Flow Warning. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 142: 192-202

Straub D., Papaioannou I. (2015): Bayesian Updating with Structural Reliability Methods. Journal of Engineering Mechanics, Trans. ASCE, 141(3), 04014134.

Zwirglmaier K., Straub D., Groth K.M. (2015). Framework for a Bayesian Network Version of IDHEAS. Proc. European Safety and Reliability Conference ESREL 2015, Zürich, Switzerland.

Scherb A., Garrè L., Straub D. (2015). Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Infrastructure Networks Subjected to Hurricanes. 12th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, ICASP1, July 12-15, 2015, Vancouver.

Luque J, Straub D, (2015). Reliability analysis of monitored deteriorating structural systems with dynamic Bayesian networks. 12th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, ICASP1, July 12-15, 2015, Vancouver.

Špačková O., Dittes B., Straub D., (2015). Risk-based Optimization of Adaptable Protection Measures Against Natural Hazards. 12th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, ICASP1, July 12-15, 2015, Vancouver.

Zwirglmaier K., Straub D. (2015). Discretization of Structural Reliability Problems: An Application to Runway Overrun. Proc. 12th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering ICASP 12, Vancouver, Canada.

Yuan J., Papaioannou I. Straub D, (2015). Reliability analysis of infinite slope under random rainfall events. ISGSR 2015, Rotterdam, Holland.

2014

Klüppelberg C., Straub D., Welpe I. (Editors) (2014). Risk - A Multidisciplinary Introduction, Springer.

Straub D. (2014). Value of information analysis with structural reliability methods. Structural Safety, 49: 75-86.

Betz W. , I. Papaioannou, D. Straub. (2014) Numerical methods for the discretization of random fields by means of the Karhunen–Loève expansionComputer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering271: 109-129. 

Altamura A., Straub D. (2014): Reliability assessment of high cycle fatigue under variable amplitude loading: review and solutions. Engineering Fracture Mechanics, 121: 40-66.

Keßler S., Fischer J., Straub D., Gehlen C. (2014): Updating of Service Life Prediction of Reinforced Concrete Structures with Potential Mapping. Cement & Concrete Composites, 47: 47-52.

Luque J., Hamann R., Straub D. (2014). Spatial model for corrosion in ships and FPSOs. Proc. OMAE2014, San Francisco, CA. 

Špačková, O., Rimböck, A., Straub, D., 2014. Risk management in Bavarian Alpine torrents: a framework for flood risk quantification accounting for subscenarios, in: Proc. of the IAEG Congress 2014. IAEG XII congress, Torino, Italy.

Špačková O., Rimböck A., Straub D. (2014): Optimal flood risk management - decision process in practice. Proc. 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management (ICVRAM2014), Liverpool, UK. 

Zwirglmaier K., Drees L., Holzapfel F., Straub D. (2014). Reliability analysis for runway overrun using subset simulation. Proc. ESREL 2014, Wroclaw, Poland. 

Betz W. , I. Papaioannou, D. Straub. (2014) Adaptive variant of the BUS approach to Bayesian updating9th International Conference on Structural Dynamics (EURODYN), Porto, Portugal

Betz W. , C.M. Mok, I. Papaioannou, D. Straub. (2014) Bayesian model calibration using structural reliability methods: application to the hydrological abc model2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management (ICVRAM), Liverpool, UK.

2013

Špačková O., Straub D. (2013). Dynamic Bayesian networks for probabilistic modeling of tunnel excavation processesComputer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering28(1): 1-21. 

Bensi M.T., Der Kiureghian A., Straub D. (2013). Efficient Bayesian network modeling of systems. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 112: 200-213.

Papaioannou I., Gao R., Rank E., Wang C.M. (2013). Stochastic hydroelastic analysis of pontoon-type very large floating structures considering directional wave spectrum. Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics, 33: 26-37 

Runtemund K., Cottone G., Müller G. (2013). Treatment of arbitrarily autocorrelated load functions in the scope of parameter identificationComputer & Structures126: 29-40.

Špačková O., Šejnoha J., Straub D. (2013). Probabilistic assessment of tunnel construction performance based on data. Tunnelling and Underground Space Technology 37: 62-78.

Papaioannou I., Betz, W., Straub D. (2013). Bayesian model updating of a tunnel in soft soil with settlement measurementsProc. 4th Geosnet Conference, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

Camos C., Molins C., Špačková O., Straub D. (2013). Development of a probabilistic model for the prediction of building damage due to tunneling induced settlements. Proc. 4th Geosnet Conference, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

Ji Y., Papaioannou I., Mok C.M., Straub D. (2013). Effect of Rainfall on the Reliability of an Infinite SlopeProc. 4th Geosnet Conference, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

Breitung K. (2013). Are interval probabilities a viable way for quantifying uncertainties?. Proc. European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2013, Amsterdam, NL

Luque J., Straub D. (2013). Algorithms for optimal risk-based planning of inspections using influence diagrams. Proc. 11th International Probabilistic Workshop IPW11 2013, Brno University of Technology, Brno, Czech Republic.

Betz W., Papaioannou I., Straub D. (2013). Assessment of methods for the numerical solution of the Fredholm integral eigenvalue problem. Proc. 11th International Conference on Structural Safety & Reliability ICOSSAR 2013, Columbia University, New York.

Luque J., Papaioannou I., Ruess M.,  Schillinger D., Straub D. (2013). Probabilistic model of bone structure based on CT scan data and validation of simulation results using the Finite Cell Method. Proc. 11th International Conference on Structural Safety & Reliability ICOSSAR 2013, Columbia University, New York.

Papakosta P., Straub D. (2013). A Bayesian network approach to assessing wildfire consequences. Proc. 11th International Conference on Structural Safety & Reliability ICOSSAR 2013, Columbia University, New York.

Papaioannou I., Breitung K., Straub D. (2013). Reliability sensitivity analysis with Monte Carlo methods. Proc. 11th International Conference on Structural Safety & Reliability ICOSSAR 2013, Columbia University, New York.

Sättele M., Bründl M., Straub D. (2013). Bayesian networks to quantify the reliability of a debris flow alarm system. Proc. 11th International Conference on Structural Safety & Reliability ICOSSAR 2013, Columbia University, New York.

Schneider R., Thöns S., Rücker W. Straub D. (2013). Effect of different inspection strategies on the reliability of Daniels systems subjected to fatigue. Proc. 11th International Conference on Structural Safety & Reliability ICOSSAR 2013, Columbia University, New York.

Špačková O., Rimböck A., Straub D. 2013. How to select optimal mitigation strategies for natural hazards? Proc. ICOSSAR’13, Columbia University, New York.

Zwirglmaier K., Papakosta P. Straub D. (2013). Learning a Bayesian network model for predicting wildfire behavior. Proc. 11th International Conference on Structural Safety & Reliability ICOSSAR 2013, Columbia University, New York.

Fischer J., Straub D. (2013): Reliability of a concrete bridge subject to corrosion conditional on spatially distributed monitoring and inspection results. Proc. 11th International Conference on Structural Safety & Reliability ICOSSAR 2013, Columbia University, New York.

Špačková O., Šejnoha J., Straub D. (2013). Tunnel construction time and cost estimates: from deterministic to probabilistic approaches. Podzemni stavby Praha 2013, Prague, Czech Republic.

Ranjan R., Betz W., Papaioannou I., Straub D. (2013). A Two-Step Approach for Reliability Assessment of a Tunnel in Soft Soil. Proc. EURO:TUN 2013, 3rd International Conference on Computational Methods in Tunnelling and Subsurface Engineering, Ruhr University Bochum

Prior to 2013

Frey D., Butenuth M., Straub D. (2012): Probabilistic graphical models for flood state detection of roads combining imagery and DEM. IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters, 9(6): 1051-1055.

Papaioannou I., Straub D. (2012). Reliability updating in geotechnical engineering including spatial variability of soil. Computers & Geotechnics, 42: 44–51.

Schumacher T., Straub D., Higgins C.C. (2012): Toward a Probabilistic Acoustic Emission Source Location Algorithm: a Bayesian Approach. Journal of Sound and Vibration, 331(19): 4233-4245.

Straub D., Papaioannou I., Michalski A. (2012). Designing for wind actions based on time-domain analysis: Accounting for statistical uncertainty. Proc. IFIP WG 7.5 Conference on Reliability and Optimization of Structural Systems, Yerevan, Armenia.

Straub D. (2011). Reliability updating with equality information. Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics, 26(2), pp. 254–258.

Straub D., Der Kiureghian A. (2011). Reliability Acceptance Criteria for Deteriorating Elements of Structural Systems. Journal of Structural Engineering, Trans. ASCE, 137(12): 1573–1582.

Cottone G. (2011). Statistics of Non-Linear Stochastic Dynamical Systems by under Lévy noises by a convolution quadrature approach. Journal of Physics A: Math. Theor. 44 (18) 185001

Bensi M.T., Der Kiureghian A., Straub D. (2011). Bayesian network modeling of correlated random variables drawn from a Gaussian random field. Structural Safety, 33(6), pp. 317–332.

Cottone G., Di Paola M., Butera S. (2011). Stochastic Dynamics of Nonlinear Systems with Fractional Power-Law Nonlinear Term. Fractional Calculus Approach. Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics, 26 (1) pp.101-108

Cottone G., Di Paola M. (2011). Fractional Spectral Moments for Digital Simulation of Multivariate Wind Velocity Fields. International Journal of Wind Engineering & Industrial Aerodynamics 99(6-7) pp. 741-747

Miraglia S., Dietsch P., Straub D. (2011). Comparative Risk Assessment of Secondary Structures in Wide-Span Timber Structures. Proc. ICASP11, Zürich, Switzerland.

Straub D., Lentz. A., Papaioannou I., Rackwitz R. (2011). Life Quality Index for Assessing Risk Acceptance in Geotechnical Engineering. In: Vogt N., Schuppener B., Straub D., Bräu G. (eds.). Geotechnical Risk and Safety (Proc. ISGSR 3), Bundesanstalt für Wasserbau. ISBN: 978-3-939230-01-4, pp. 37-46.

Straub D. (2011) Reliability updating with inspection and monitoring data in deteriorating reinforced concrete slabs. Proc. ICASP11, Zürich, Switzerland.

Straub D., Der Kiureghian A. (2010). Bayesian Network Enhanced with Structural Reliability Methods. Part A: Theory. Journal of Engineering Mechanics, Trans. ASCE, 136(10), pp. 1248-1258.

Straub D., Der Kiureghian A. (2010). Bayesian Network Enhanced with Structural Reliability Methods. Part B: Applications. Journal of Engineering Mechanics, Trans. ASCE, 136(10), pp. 1259-1270.

Cottone G. (2010). Fractional Calculus Approach for the Representation of Power Spectral Densities and Correlation Functions in Wind Engineering. Proc. In-Vento XII, Spoleto, Italy

Cottone G., Di Paola M., Santoro R. (2010). A Novel Exact Representation of Stationary Coloured Gaussian Processes (Fractional Differential Approach). Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and General, 43 (8) 085002

Straub D. (2009). Stochastic modeling of deterioration processes through dynamic Bayesian networks. Journal of Engineering Mechanics, Trans. ASCE, 135(10), pp. 1089-1099.

Straub D., Malioka V., Faber M.H. (2009). A framework for the asset integrity management of large deteriorating concrete structures. Structure and Infrastructure Engineering, 5(3) pp. 199 - 213.

Straub D., Schubert M. (2008). Modelling and managing uncertainty in rock-fall hazards. Georisk, 2(1), pp. 1-15.

Straub D., Der Kiureghian A. (2008). Improved Seismic Fragility Modeling from Empirical Data. Structural Safety, 30(4), pp. 320-336.

Straub D. (2008). Modeling inspections for pipelines and process equipment. Proc. 6th International Probabilistic Workshop, TU Darmstadt, Germany.

Straub D., Faber M.H. (2007). Temporal Variability in Corrosion Modeling and Reliability Updating. Journal of Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering, Trans. ASME, 129(4), pp. 265-272.

Nishijima K., Straub D., Faber M.H. (2007). Inter-generational distribution of the life-cycle cost of an engineering facility. Journal of Reliability of Structures and Materials, 3(1), pp. 33-46.

Grêt-Regamey A., Straub D. (2006). Spatially explicit avalanche risk assessment linking Bayesian networks to a GIS. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 6(6), pp. 911-926.

Straub D., Faber M.H. (2006). Computational Aspects of Risk Based Inspection Planning. Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, 21(3), pp. 179-192.

Straub D., Grêt-Regamey A. (2006). A Bayesian probabilistic framework for avalanche modelling based on observations. Cold Regions Science and Technology, 46(3) , pp. 192-203.

Faber M.H., Straub D., Maes M.A. (2006). A Computational Framework for Risk Assessment of RC Structures Using Indicators. Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, 21(3), pp. 216-230.

Straub D., Faber M.H. (2006). Risikobasierte Inspektionsstrategien für den optimalen Unterhalt von Tragwerken. Stahlbau, 75(5), pp. 389-396.

Straub D., Goyet J., Sørensen J.D., Faber M.H. (2006). Benefits of risk based inspection planning for offshore structures. Proc. OMAE’06, Hamburg.

Straub D., Faber M.H. (2005). Risk Based Inspection Planning for Structural Systems. Structural Safety, 27(4), pp 335-355.

Straub D., Faber M.H. (2005). Risk Based Acceptance Criteria for Joints Subject to Fatigue Deterioration. Journal of Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering, Trans. ASME, 127(2), pp. 150-157.

Straub D. (2005). Natural hazards risk assessment using Bayesian networks. Safety and Reliability of Engineering Systems and Structures (Proc. ICOSSAR 05, Rome), Augusti et al. (eds), Millpress, pp. 2535-2542.

Straub D. (2004). Generic Approaches to Risk Based Inspection Planning for Steel Structures. IBK Bericht 284, VdF Verlag, Zürich.

Straub D., Faber M.H. (2004). System Effects in Generic Risk Based Inspection Planning. Journal of Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering, Trans. ASME, 126(3), pp. 265-271.

Straub D., Faber M.H. (2004). On the Relation between Inspection Quality and Quantity. e-Journal of Nondestructive Testing, 9(7), www.ndt.net.